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Republican 2012 Candidates

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(Garden Grove, California)

We haven’t even closed out November, 2008; and already people are speculating on whom the Republicans may choose to nominate for President in 2012. One theme seems to weigh in above all others - executive experience.

Almost all the big names being tossed about are Governors. Let’s take a peek:

Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK), former Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR), former Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA): All these names are in the mix because they were on the bill of fare in 2008. All come with immediate name recognition, media attention and fundraising prowess. All three are viable contenders.

Gov. Mark Sanford (R-SC), Gov. Bobby Jindal (R-LA), Gov. Haley Barbour (R-MS): All three are Southern governors who will be needed to secure the “solid South.” The GOP can’t afford another race in which it loses Florida, North Carolina and Virginia. It must take back all three of these states in 2012 to be viable. Any of these men could be a serious VP contender as well.

Former Gov. Jeb Bush (R-FL): Bush won statewide twice in Florida and came very close on a third occasion. Forget his brother George’s unpopularity. This Bush is a more dynamic candidate, a better public speaker and has a Latina wife. Just add Florida to all the McCain states in 2008, and you are already at 200 electoral votes. Not a bad base from which to start. Bush will be only 59 in 2012, so he’s viable for a few more cycles.

Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN), Sen. John Thune (R-SD): These two are young and are believed to have a bright future in the party. Pawlenty was said to be the second choice behind Sarah Palin for VP this year. Thune is a “dragon slayer” for defeating former Sen. Tom Daschle. Either could be a VP pick, as well.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA): Newt will be 69 in 2012, so this might be his last, best shot. If Obama looks vulnerable, I think Gingrich might just run. A lot depends on how vocal and visible he is over the next four years.

Keep coming back to www.MarkCurtisMedia.com for the latest in politics.

McClintock Widens Lead in Congressional Race

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(Garden Grove, California)

I always like to have the latest numbers; and, thanks to a wise viewer, I now have them. The numbers I posted earlier were from RealClearPolitics.com, showing McClintock up by 283. Well, the folks at RealClearPolitics (and I) should have checked the most authoritative source.

As of Wednesday, November 26, with all the absentee and provisional ballots counted, McClintock is now ahead by 1,576 votes, a margin tough to overcome, even on a recount! Here are the exact numbers from Secretary of State Debra Bowen’s office: Charlie Brown (Dem) 182,967 votes, or 49.7 percent, and Tom McClintock (Rep), 184,543, or 50.3 percent.

"We're not claiming victory, but we just think it's mathematically impossible for (Brown) to win," said Bill George, spokesman for McClintock, who spoke with the “Sacramento Bee.”

Charlie Brown’s spokesman, Todd Stenhouse, told the “Sacramento Bee” Brown would not concede, noting that thousands more votes remain to be counted, most of which are provisional ballots that "have been breaking very, very strongly for Charlie."

By state law, each county in District 4 must conduct a hand recount of at least 10 percent of the vote, because the two candidates were separated by less than a half percentage point on Election Day.

So, don’t be surprised if there are challenges, legal and otherwise. Democrats really wanted to capture this seat; but, as I’ve said, picking up almost 1,600 votes on a recount is tough.

I predict McClintock will quickly make a national name for himself in Washington, as he did in California. He is a tried-and-true conservative, who’s very quotable and telegenic, and who doesn’t mind dipping his toes into controversial waters. In other words, he’s no wallflower. He won’t shy away from being an outspoken critic of the Obama Administration. That will make for good copy in Washington, DC.

Thanks to the viewer who wrote in with the updated numbers. That’s what this blog and its comment section are for!

Keep checking in at www.MarkCurtisMedia.com.

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