Okay, blog fans! I am actually writing a political column today. I know it has been a while, but I have been busy promoting my book.
I have now spoken to at least two dozen groups about "Age of Obama: A Reporter's Journey with Clinton, McCain and Obama in the Making of the President 2008." One question that comes up over and over and over is: Do you think Hillary Clinton will ever run for President again?
My answer is, "Yes."
I started thinking about this today after reading a blog from my friend Diane Mantouvalos, from Miami (pictured above). Diane runs the popular website www.hireheels.com. She wrote a blog recently about whether Hillary Clinton might run again if Barack Obama serves two terms. Here is the link: http://hireheels.com/blog/2009/03/11/hillary-2016/
As for my own opinion. Here are some things to watch:
1) If Obama falters and Hillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State after just two years, watch out! An early departure means Hillary is certainly thinking of challenging him for the nomination in 2012. That could be dangerous for Democrats. Intraparty fights are usually lethal to incumbents. Ronald Reagan's challenge helped sink Gerald Ford in 1976; Ted Kennedy's challenge helped banish Jimmy Carter in 1980; and Pat Robertson helped toast George H.W. Bush in 1992. Granted all three of those incumbents were also struggling with a bad economy; but there is a chance Obama will be facing economic problems in 2012, as well.
2) If Obama remains popular and Hillary Clinton serves one full term as Secretary of State and bows out, take that as a sign she will run in 2016. First, she needs four years to raise money and build an organization. Second, if she leaves in 2012 and things turn sour for Obama, she will have distanced herself from being tied to the blame.
3) If Obama serves two full terms and Hillary Clinton spends eight years as Secretary of State, chances are dicey she'll run. If times are good and we have peace, she can take credit for it. If the Mideast is a mess, she could be tagged with the blame.
So, my conclusion is this: Keep an eye on Hillary Clinton. I bet she serves only one term and then gets out, preparing for another run, probably eyeing 2016. She'll be only sixty-nine years old, and that's not too old anymore if she is healthy.
You are never too old to buy and read books. My first book, "Age of Obama: A Reporter's Journey...." is available just by clicking on the blue book button on the right side of this screen.